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Liveblog - #PC2StormStalkers – Thu, May 27, 2021 – A Stormy U.S. Outlook – Liveblog

As we move through our Thursday, May 27, 2021 A.D. here, expect temperatures to still be slightly above normal across the South, Mid-Atlantic, & Ohio River Valley. Things have chilled out across the Upper Midwest, Great Lakes, & Northeast. Temps are heating up rapidly, as can be expected this time of year, in the Southwest, with seasonably mild temps in the Pacific Northwest, warm in Hawaii/Territories, & seasonably cool to cold in Alaska.

Right now – 330AM CDT/830Z, we’ve got a large complex of stormy weather over western Oklahoma as well as the Central & Northern Plains. Over #Kansas, there’s some severe in the mix. This activity will continue pushing Eastward towards the Central Mississippi River Valley through teh morning, as the day’s “festivities” kick off across today’s stormy regions. What are those regions? Well…

Let’s start with the Enhanced – 3 out of 5 – Risk area for #SevereWeather, which is NW #Texas, through the heart of #OK, into the Ozarks. This is buttressed by a Slight (2/5) Risk from the #BigBend right on up into the heart of #Illinois, and a Marginal (1/5) Risk buttresses *that*, extending as far East as #Cincinnati. The modes of severe weather to expect are gonna basically be “all”.

There’s a general storminess risk for – & keep in mind the NOAA maps don’t show this extent (the “additions” I made on the upcoming map are obvious 🤣) but I’m taking the liberty, given model data & StormStalker instinct, to say to be ready for possible storminess across the entirety of the Continental United States East of the Rockies, with the exceptions of the Upper Midwest’s Canadian border regions, & most of #NewEngland. There’ll also be low-elevation rain & high elevation snow/ice for the #PacificNorthwest.

What will the storms look like?

  • Central Plains; Mississippi River Valley: Morning round as described above, with re-development during the afternoon and evenings. Storm movement mainly W-E. Severe galore.
  • Southern Plains: Afternoon development, especially focused towards the Big Bend/Permian Basin/High Plains of #Texas, which will then move East. Some severe.
  • The South: Tropical/typical “pop-up” storms. Strongest may bring small hail & tropical funnels. Generally W-E or SW-NE, with #Florida storms varying somewhat – sea-breeze storms may move more E-W on the Eastern side of the peninsula.
  • Elsewhere: Associated with the same overall mega-system that’s bring severe to the Plains, et al – but gentler. Again, W-E movement.

In #NorthDakota & the #LakeSuperior areas, rain could mix with sleet/snow. No major impacts expected.

In #Alaska, expect scattered cold rain & ice/snow in and around an #Anchorage-#Fairbanks-#Barrow “triangle”.

In Hawai’i & the U.S. Territories/Free Associates, expect seasonably tropical temperatures with isolated showers & storms, with activity more widespread in the #MarshallIslands. There’s currently no areas of #TropicalCyclone or #FireWeather concern.

Stay #WeatherAware today & always, y’all. Some quick tips:

  • While we definitely appreciate y’all here at PC2, it’s a limited operation right now. But even if we weren’t, multiple sources are crucial. Have multiple data sources for getting your weather info, in addition to us!
  • Find a local TV station & a local radio station with good, solid weather departments – & stay tuned via OTA broadcast, social media, streaming, etc.
  • Stay tuned to other local weather personalities as well
  • Have a NOAA weather radio with SAME capabilities at the ready.
  • On your devices, have apps that keep you informed and will push notifications to you about not just government-issued warnings, but info about approaching activity, period. For general use, a combo of Weather Underground & WeatherBug will do. For advanced users, Joshua Tee’s wX, Baron app family, & RadarScope are good ones to add.

  • north texas storms

    #NorthTexas, it’s about to be a stormy night!

    The storms that brought #severeweather to #Oklahoma earlier this evening are now crossing the #RedRiver. They’re now weaker, and the weakening trend will continue, but this line still contains very heavy rain, copious lightning, the occasional small “pocket change” hailstone, & notable wind gusts. Some of the cells in the line still & will have the potential to be marginally severe as it moves south.

    Expect the activity to be confined to approximately along & E of a #WichitaFalls-US 287-#FortWorth-I-35 line. It’ll reach the I-20 corridor by approximately midnight-1 AM, & Central/East Central #TX by daybreak or so. The cold front causing the storms is expected to stall, and where it stalls is gonna be important for where the redevelopment of storms happens during the upcoming daylight.

    If the front stalls about at the I-20 Corridor, expect that to be exactly where storms form later on. If it’s south of there, expect the storms to, well, form south of the I-20 Corridor, more towards #Waco, #PalestineTX, etc.

    #weather #wxgab #txwx #dfwwx #ntxwx #dfw #dallas #fortworth

  • mid afternoon update

    Storms active, as expected, from roughly a Gary-Terre Haute-North Central Arkansas-Oklahoma City line, with – again, as expected, new afternoon activity filling in from OKC over to Lubbock, and down to the Big Bend/Rio Grande. This will march southeast/east as the afternoon, evening, overnight, & morning roll on. Severe weather is a concern in areas that, as described in today’s outlook, are under an SPC risk area.

    The circled area shows where “pop up” afternoon development has happened. This will diminish quickly after local sunset. This is tropical activity that’ll mainly be heavy rain and lightning.

    A #SevereThunderstormWatch is in effect for the #BigBend up to NW #Texas til 11 pm CDT for the new development potential. #weather #txwx #wxfacebook #wtxwx #bigcountry #permianbasin #midland #odessa #odessatx #abilene #sanangelo #c2wx #severeweather

  • discord

    wanna really stay connected to the #stormstalkers. join the grove nation discord. be ready to be a bro! 🙂 widget on the right.

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