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Liveblog - #PC2StormStalkers – U.S. Outlook – Fri, May 28, 2021

Temperatures will be quite warm across the South today, and straight-up toasty in the Southwest, including California. Gotta go further north up the #WestCoast to get cooler/milder temps (but don’t; Portland & Seattle are up there!). In the Northern & Central Plains, the Midwest/Great Lakes, and the northern Mid-Atlantic up into #NewEngland, that’s where it’ll be quite mild to even cool/chilly (some areas in the far northern Midwest/New England areas will be coming off of Frost/Freeze Warnings!). Also cold (even for their standards) will be #Alaska, with milder temps being the thing in the southwest of the state. Temps will be normally tropically mild/warm in #Hawaii & the Territories.

Let’s talk storms. Today’s #SevereWeather concern areas are from the NE of #NewMexico, SE & E through the heart of #Texas, the lower #MississippiRiver valley, up through the Central #Appalachians to the coast of #Virginia. There’s another spot in NE #Wyoming & SE #Montana. This is all a Marginal risk except for North Central VA, SE NM, & the #BigBend/#PermianBasin/#EdwardsPlateau of TX. The main concern with severe storms will be damaging winds (entire swath), with hail being secondary (mainly VA/#WestVirginia, TX/NM, & WY/MT. #Tornado risk is low, but not zero, mainly for NM/TX & VA/WV/far E #Kentucky.’

This Severe concern area is buttressed by a general storms concern area that extends from the MT/#NorthDakota border with #Canada, on down south through TX, and covering basically the entire South, the #OhioRiver Valley, & the Lower Midwest/Great Lakes, on E through the NE. Look for the odd high-elevation wintry precipitation shower in the #PacificNorthwest. Elsewhere, expect things to be on the calmer side, with variable cloudiness (especially in the West).

Storms are currently ongoing from the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes, on down through the Ohio River Valley, SE of the #Ozarks, and into northern #Texas. This will push East through the morning, and from W to E across the East, expect these storms to have an impact today… but, for Texas on up to that MT/ND-Canada border, expect the main event to hold off until the afternoon, when storms are expect to “blow up” and move mainly W-E.

For my North Texans, remember how I mentioned in the liveblog yesterday about tonight’s frontal position/storms determining the storm kickoff area for Friday? Right now, it’s looking like it’ll be South of the I-20 Corridor.

AK will see isolated to scattered cold rain/snow/ice showers in the North and the East, including the SE. #PuertoRico can expect widespread tropical showers, with more isolated activity for other U.S. territories. There’s currently no real #TropicalWeather concern areas, though the disorganized storm cluster out in the open Pacific West of the approximate midpoint between the southern tip of #BajaCalifornia Sur & the #GalapagosIslands does warrant a note, since it may get organized in a few days (something to keep an eye on).

Stay #WeatherAware today & always, y’all. Some quick tips:

  • While we definitely appreciate y’all here at PC2, it’s a limited operation right now. But even if we weren’t, multiple sources are crucial. Have multiple data sources for getting your weather info, in addition to us!
  • Find a local TV station & a local radio station with good, solid weather departments – & stay tuned via OTA broadcast, social media, streaming, etc.
  • Stay tuned to other local weather personalities as well
  • Have a NOAA weather radio with SAME capabilities at the ready.
  • On your devices, have apps that keep you informed and will push notifications to you about not just government-issued warnings, but info about approaching activity, period. For general use, a combo of Weather Underground & WeatherBug will do. For advanced users, Joshua Tee’s wX, Baron app family, & RadarScope are good ones to add.

  • metroplex

    light to moderate rain extending from the main storm complex will be a thing in the metroplex over the next couple hours or so

  • North Texas storms

    Well, y’all, we’re seeing the storms fire up in North Central Texas here. It’s mainly south of the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, as expected, but also West. Severe thunderstorm watch is in effect for the counties south and west of the metroplex as a result. Coryell/Bosque/Hamilton “tripoint” area and Comanche County are currently severe warned for up to ping pong hail & 60+ mile per hour winds. Activity will generally move East / Southeast. While there are storms west of the metroplex, it’s still a question of whether they’ll actually reach the metroplex. If they do, they likely won’t be severe when they do.


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